Market Question Development
Develop precise candidate market questions from a broad topic, decision need, or area of interest before turning selected questions into event contract specification drafts.
Independent consulting for event contract and prediction market specification.
I design event contracts.
I help turn prediction market ideas, broad interest areas, or topics into precise event contract specification drafts. Each draft applies my technical and conceptual judgment to clarify outcomes, resolution criteria, and edge cases for later product, compliance, surveillance, or counsel review where relevant.
Services
Individualized consulting for clients who need careful event contract specifications before implementation, review, governance, or stakeholder discussion.
Event Contract Specification
Draft precise prediction market definitions or event contract specifications with clear outcome criteria, resolution method, and review conditions, reviewed and finalized by me.
Binary Market Transformation
Translate conditional, date-based, categorical, multi-select, scalar, numerical, or combinatorial market ideas into precise binary market definitions for practical implementation.
Resolution Criteria Design
Define observable criteria, source hierarchy, timing rules, and conditions for valid resolution.
Edge-Case Analysis
Map cancellation scenarios, source conflicts, partial outcomes, force majeure cases, and interpretation traps for the specific market idea or set of related questions.
Market Definition Review
I use AI-assisted analysis and my human judgment to review proposed market wording for ambiguity, incentive problems, missing edge cases, and resolution risk.
Regulatory Issue Spotting
Identify specification features that may deserve counsel or compliance review, without providing legal advice, regulatory conclusions, or predictions of CFTC treatment.
Decision Support
Draft conditional market definitions for organizational decisions, such as product launches, vendor choices, hiring decisions, governance proposals, or budget allocations.
Questions
Who can this consulting work be useful for?
It can be useful for regulated venues such as designated contract markets (DCMs) or swap execution facilities (SEFs), prediction-market builders, decentralized autonomous organization (DAO) or governance groups, researchers, founders, and individuals who want to turn a broad market idea, interest area, or topic into precise candidate market questions and specification drafts before further review or discussion.
Do I need an internal product, compliance, or legal team?
No. Some clients may already have internal review teams. Others may simply want a clearer, more precise event-contract draft before deciding whether to discuss the idea with product specialists, compliance staff, counsel, governance participants, or other stakeholders.
What do I receive from a project?
The typical result is a client-specific specification draft or set of related drafts that defines the relevant market question or questions, outcome conditions, resolution criteria, source hierarchy, timing rules, and relevant edge cases. I usually deliver a polished PDF specification for review and recordkeeping. If useful, I can also provide an editable Markdown version for internal comments, issue tracking, or governance discussion. The exact depth depends on the project scope.
Does this replace legal, regulatory, or compliance review?
No. My work is technical, conceptual, and specification-oriented. It does not provide legal advice, regulatory assessments, compliance determinations, filing decisions, or approval opinions.
Is the work AI-generated?
I may use AI-assisted research, drafting, and consistency checks where appropriate, but the consulting work depends on my own review, adaptation, and technical and conceptual judgment.
Process
- 01
Email inquiry
- 02
Scope clarification
- 03
Individual fixed-price proposal
- 04
Specification work
- 05
Review round
Scope and pricing approach
Each project is scoped individually. Pricing depends on outcome complexity, resolution ambiguity, stakeholder context, and the desired depth of the specification.
After an initial scope clarification, I provide an individual proposal for the work. The project is defined around the relevant market question or set of related questions, review context, and depth of specification required.
Scope-based refund policy
For B2B consulting projects, I can include a written refund clause in the individual project proposal. If, after the agreed review round, the delivered specification materially falls outside the written project scope and I cannot correct it within a reasonable time, I refund the paid consulting fee for the affected project.
This refund policy does not cover later legal, regulatory, listing, trading, revenue, governance, investment, or market outcomes. My work remains limited to technical, conceptual, and specification-oriented consulting.
Boundaries and disclaimers
I provide technical, conceptual, and specification-oriented consulting only. I do not operate prediction markets, list contracts, hold client funds, accept wagers, intermediate transactions in financial products, or provide legal, regulatory, financial, or market-operation advice. Nothing on this website is an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to trade any contract or financial product.
My work does not include legal opinions, regulatory representation, CFTC compliance determinations, self-certifications, approval requests, or final CFTC filing documents. Listing, filing-path, approval, compliance, and final contract-term decisions remain the responsibility of the relevant regulated venue or other responsible organization, its authorized personnel, and qualified counsel.
Where appropriate, I may use AI-assisted research, drafting, and consistency checks, but I personally review, adapt, and finalize each specification for your specific context. A consulting project begins only after scope and terms have been agreed.
About me
I am Christopher Maximilian Altmann, an independent consultant focused on event contract specification. I work personally with you to reason through outcome definitions, resolution criteria, source reliability, edge cases, and the points where AI-assisted drafting still requires human judgment.
My motivation is to help prediction markets become more varied, more carefully specified, and more useful as information tools. Well-defined markets can make uncertainty easier to inspect, help separate signal from noise, and support more disciplined public and organizational reasoning. Poorly defined markets can do the opposite: create ambiguity, resolution disputes, and misplaced confidence.
I am especially interested in prediction markets as mechanisms for decision coordination, including Futarchy in decentralized autonomous organizations and other governance contexts. I also see carefully designed event contracts as a way to direct attention toward important scientific, technical, and social questions. For these uses to be credible, the market question, resolution method, source hierarchy, and participant restrictions need to be precise enough for product, compliance, surveillance, and counsel review.
From April 2022 to December 2025, I independently supported the development and maintenance of an open information-market protocol in the Polkadot blockchain ecosystem, with Futarchy as its long-term vision. That work involved Rust-based blockchain components, remote open-source collaboration, and the specification challenges that arise when real-world questions need precise resolution treatment.
Contact me
If your project touches prediction markets, event contracts, or decision-coordination mechanisms, you are welcome to write to me.